04 Commodity risk

Insurance for
high-risk commodities.

Commodity
Shrimp
Data
26 countries and regions
Contracts
Deductible-only and stop-loss

Feasibility study

We studied the feasibility of insurance contracts for shrimp losses using production data from shrimp-farming countries.

Data and model uncertainty

The risk analysis used shrimp-production data from 26 countries and regions.

Faced with substantial differences in a relatively small dataset, we based the analysis on risk management under model uncertainty.

The study estimated a premium rate for full coverage.

Contract design

The second part examined two types of insurance: a deductible-only policy and a stop-loss policy intended to address moral hazard.

We developed a method to estimate premium rates across a range of risk-aversion levels.

Fig. 01

Heat map of premium rates across combinations of the EF and EI parameters, shaded from pale to dark blue as the rate rises from 0% to 33% along both.
Premium rates across combinations of the EF and EI parameters.

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